(Moraga, California)
Politics are like a drug and I am an addict. They call it being a "political junkie." I am one. So this is a tough time of year. We are now 5 1/2 weeks between primaries. The longest stretch without a vote this year. Of course this week, we've had the scandal involving now former Gov. Eliot Spitzer (D-NY) and the fiery, caustic sermons of Barack Obama's preacher to keep us busy.
Still, it's not the same as waiting for primary returns to come in. And the high drama of the Democratic campaign, is still the year's top political story.
Despite the week's two scandals, the number one question people keep asking is: "Who do you think is going to win?"
So here is the latest from Real Clear Politics, even though we are still weeks (if not months) away from the next primary drama:
Pennsylvania April 22, 188 delegates. Clinton 52%; Obama 36%; Undecided 12%.
Pennsylvania represents the best chance for Hillary Clinton to make another comeback, as she did last week. Pennsylvania is very much like Ohio, a heavily unionized industrial state with high unemployment and high resentment over the NAFTA trade deal. Expect Clinton to hit Obama hard on that.Tip: Clinton will face increasing questions about how she can claim a victory in the nomination process through Super Delegates, even though Obama has more primary wins, more regular delegates and more popular votes. It's the "will of the people" issue.
North Carolina May 6, 134 delegates Obama: 47%; Clinton: 39% Undecided: 14%.
Obama has done very well and not just among black voters. His message of hope and optimism and a unified country has played well to mixed electorates in South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi and elsewhere in the South. A big boost in North Carolina could help him fare far better in the Florida "re-do" primary, whenever that happens.
Tip: Obama will continue to face questions about his minister and other backers. His relatively thin legislative record will come under greater scrutiny. He'll also face more pressure about how he'll answer those 3 a.m. White House crisis phone calls. 
As for John McCain. Time to fundraise, fundraise, fundraise, but to dance carefully as a campaign finance reformer. It's a tough trick!There will be plenty to keep us all busy until April 22 in Pennsylvania! I'll have lots to say about it all.
Check back often at www.MarkCurtisMedia.blogspot.com
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