Saturday, February 23, 2008

Parting Shots from Wisconsin

(Brookfield, Wisconsin)



Well I have enjoyed my week at home. There is something about being here that always revives me, perhaps it is the sub-zero temperatures.

I had a lot of time this week to analyze some of the poll results, in an effort to get a better snapshot of where we are headed in November.



Sen. Hillary Clinton is in a bind. She is losing her constituents. "Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel" exit polls in Wisconsin show that she only won (3) demographic groups and tied for another.



CLINTON COALITION:



She tied with Obama among women.. 50% each (she leads slightly among white women).



She is now losing to Latino voters which she courted effectively in early primaries.



She is winning "younger"old folks. The majority of people over 60 are still supporting Sen. Clinton.



People 65+ also support Clinton.



But that's all! She once led among Latinos and union members, but those leads are gone too after Wisconsin.



The point is, you must win far more than four "demographic" groups to win the White House.



Still, despite that grim outlook, Clinton is still very much in this race. She needs a big win in either Texas or Ohio on Tuesday, 3/4. Even if she lost Ohio, by a close margin, the overall race would still be in play.



If she could win Texas, Vermont and Rhode Island by strong margins, Clinton may still have a chance, even if she loses Ohio.



I will be on the road Sunday, but will check in with updates on my flight back to California!



You can check in too: www.MarkCurtisMedia.blogspot.com







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